Situation Awareness for Plan Impact Extrapolation and Nomination Tool (SAPIENT) Navy SBIR FY2012.1 Sol No.: Navy SBIR FY2012.1 Topic No.: N121-105 Topic Title: Situation Awareness for Plan Impact Extrapolation and Nomination Tool (SAPIENT) Proposal No.: N121-105-0387 Firm: Stottler Henke Associates, Inc. 1670 South Amphlett Blvd. Suite 310 San Mateo, California 94402-2513 Contact: Eric Domeshek Phone: (617) 902-2223 Web Site: www.stottlerhenke.com Abstract: Operational level plans are organized into lines of operations (LOOs), with explicit decision points and alternate action sequences. Every operation requires assessment and a means to adapt rapidly to the changing environment. Staffs expend tremendous effort assembling information on the environment and measuring progress, leaving less time for interpretation, projection, and re-planning. We propose to develop Situation Awareness for Plan Impact Extrapolation and Nomination Tools (SAPIENT) to help interpret and respond to incoming data and reports. SAPIENT will include three core features: (1) LOO capture and understanding, leveraging Stottler Henke's existing campaign design tools, (2) incoming data understanding, incorporating semantic data modeling, and (3) inferencing to bridge gaps between data and LOOs, exploiting artificial intelligence technologies. In addition, SAPIENT will provide (4) interactive situation assessment visualizations connecting plan status with data interpretation and trends and (5) access to records of past plan deviations and consequences to recommend re-planning options, exploiting case-based reasoning technology. During Phase I we will elaborate the features listed above to determine the appropriate scope of SAPIENT-specifically, the supportable range of plan descriptions, environmental data, plan deviations, and re-planning tasks. Finally, we will develop system architecture, module designs, and development plans for a Phase II prototype. Benefits: SAPIENT will build on a strong base of operations design collaboration, inference, visualization, and knowledge management tools. It will employ a generic approach to integrating with externally available data and information sources. It will also offer novel automated situation assessment, response nomination, and interpretation visualization and justification tools. This package should support improved situation awareness and adaptation not only in military campaigns but in a range of business operations contexts as well. Examples of commercial situations where high-level plans must be continuously adapted to environmental uncertainty and adversaries' actions include marketing campaigns, product development and positioning, and business development in general. Return