Context Oriented Subject Matter Intelligence Capture (COSMIC) Navy SBIR FY2009.1 Sol No.: Navy SBIR FY2009.1 Topic No.: N091-076 Topic Title: Context Oriented Subject Matter Intelligence Capture (COSMIC) Proposal No.: N091-076-0535 Firm: DECISIVE ANALYTICS Corporation 1235 South Clark Street Suite 400 Arlington, Virginia 22202 Contact: Jonathan Day Phone: (703) 414-5015 Web Site: http://www.dac.us Abstract: In an insurgency - a type of conflict characterized as a "learning contest" due to the extreme flexibility and adaptability of insurgent tactics and operations - the force that is able to perform the most thorough and rapid exploitation of its intelligence data will gain an important advantage. This learning contest provides a sharp contrast to a static form of the same problem. Because the enemy is constantly changing their tactics, a learning contest requires tools and systems that can re-solve and readjust solutions on an ongoing basis. The DAC Team's unique approach to the problem of winning the learning contest combines the creativity, experience and intuition of SMEs with our powerful suite of data mining, machine learning and social network modeling algorithms. The system we propose to develop under this SBIR effort will foster a partnership between the human expert and our advanced ML algorithms that amplifies the capabilities of both. To develop an innovative and multi-disciplinary social network modeling service we have assembled a team whose background matches the problem space. Under our Content-Oriented Subject Matter Intelligence Capture (COSMIC) approach to social network analysis and modeling, SME activity is divided into three broad phases: Discovery of the information present in the available data, Probabilistic Modeling of social networks and Analysis using the models to understand the current situation and predict future events. The result is an accelerated inductive reasoning and learning process that produces automatable, expressive, high-fidelity social models of the battlespace. Benefits: This research will results in the development of a real-time tool for capturing and representing behavioral models developed by social scientists. The direct benefit to the Navy and US military will be reduced casualties as we continue to execute the Global War on Terror (GWOT). In Phase II of this effort, we will lay out a clear plan to test and transition this technology to Navy and Marine Corps agencies. In Phase III, we plan to transition this technology across multiple military organizations. One clear candidate is the Marine Corps Expeditionary Forces where DAC is about to begin transitioning other ONR sponsored research. COSMIC is relevant to domestic terrorism and could be used in the Department of Homeland Security applications as well. Non-military applications include securities fraud. Return