Surface to Air Missile Interceptor Debris Model for Anti-Ship Cruise Missile (ASCM) Defense
Navy SBIR FY2018.1


Sol No.: Navy SBIR FY2018.1
Topic No.: N181-059
Topic Title: Surface to Air Missile Interceptor Debris Model for Anti-Ship Cruise Missile (ASCM) Defense
Proposal No.: N181-059-1148
Firm: Hill Technical Solutions, Inc.
2001 Nichols Drive, Suite 100
Huntsville, Alabama 35802
Contact: J. Woosley
Phone: (256) 653-1469
Web Site: http://www.htsi-al.com/
Abstract: Hill Technical Solutions, Incorporated (HTSI) proposes to address the Program Executive Office, Integrated Warfare Systems, need for a Surface to Air Missile Interceptor Debris Model for Anti-Ship Cruise Missile (ASCM) Defense (Topic N181-059) by use of a generalized Maximum Entropy Debris Model (MEM). The original Maximum Entropy Model for Debris assumed breakup of a homogeneous solid under uniform expansion. Since an interceptor and target are neither homogeneous or experience uniform expansion, any generalized model must include methods of representing the material composition and configuration of both interceptor and target, and the dynamics of impact, without requiring the full fidelity of a hydrocode model of the bodies. HTSI proposes to redevelop the MEM using a matrix formulation for composition and configuration, representing simplified but realistic physics, which can be linearized and solved numerically. The results of this process will be compared to other models, such as the Kinetic Impact Debris Distribution models, for fidelity and evaluation.
Benefits: The principal emphasis of commercialization is the support of the PEO IWS 1.0 in system integration of the prototype developed in Phase II. The integration activities will be focused on the AEGIS Baseline 9 and 10 combat system configurations. Based on the completion of Phase II, we will demonstrate a debris model that is fully functional in AEGIS baseline testing, and will support integrating the software into the AEGIS baseline to support future threat characterization, perform validation testing, and assure combat system certification. As noted in the project summary, there are few purely civilian markets for fragmentation analysis. However, the successful development of this project would create the opportunity for expanded development plus code maintenance for the U. S. Navy and for other DoD and NASA programs, including (but not limited to): ? U S Army Surface to Air Missile, including the PATRIOT and THAAD systems: impact debris analysis to facilitate assessment of success intercepts, provide improved consequence analysis for intercept opportunities, and support range safety debris hazard assessment. ? U S Navy and U S Air Force Air to Air Missile intercept opportunities, for the same reasons. ? Missile Defense Agency and U S Air Force, exoatmospheric intercept analysis. ? All DoD, debris analysis from intercepts of advanced or hypothetical threats, both endoatmospheric and exoatmospheric. ? U S Air Force and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, debris analysis from satellite-satellite collisions and meteoroid and orbital debris hazards. These opportunities will require software maintenance of delivery analysis codes; potential upgrades to incorporate new scenarios, materials, and conditions; and general code maintenance support. As a result of the success of this project, the following is an anticipated summary of cash flows to complete commercialization of the product over the five years following Phase I award. This product assumes: (a) new development for each of the opportunities outlined above will require resources roughly equivalent to that planned under this SBIR; (b) one new opportunity captured per calendar year (this could potentially double, or more), and (c) integration of the software into AEGIS Combat Systems (at an estimated $1,000,000 per year) plus 10% of sunk cost for sales of software maintenance activities in each year. Capital expenditures for HTSI will be computer platforms dedicated to this product.

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